With over two decades of experience in the logistics and supply chain industry, Rob Segsworth is currently acting as the vice president, Land Transport (Canada) at DB Schenker. Before joining DB Schenker, he was a Director, Trade Consulting at Livingston International. He has worked in logistics and supply chain transportation for the past 28 years.
How is DB Schenker helping clients manage volatility in the North American trucking market?
There is an ongoing cycle between spot and contract prices in the trucking and transportation industry. A typical economic cycle in the trucking sector occurs when freight demand exceeds truck capacity, causing rates to rise. To explain better, trucking companies often increase their capacity, equipment, and resources in order to meet increased demand and capitalize on a booming industry. Eventually, however, when the economy softens and consumer spending shifts away from commercial goods, all those new trucks wind up without capacity, and rates begin to decline as carriers compete for available loads. As a result, spot markets become extremely volatile from a price standpoint.
This polarizing cycle was further magnified in Q4 2021 and Q1 2022; we faced driver shortages, rising pay rates for drivers, increased costs of equipment, and higher costs of borrowing. The rising demand for truck capacity at this time, was multiplied by challenges such as high fuel costs, port congestion, rail yard congestion, and vaccine mandates for drivers. This created a perfect storm for everyone in the industry and created a shift from a shipper’s market to a carrier market.
Now, as the economy has evolved consumer spending has shifted away from products toward services. This has reduced the demand for trucking capacity significantly. Consequently, the spot market has begun to become more attractive in terms of pricing. Today we see more capacity available within the industry, allowing shippers to participate in the spot market and obtain beneficial, yet transactional, rates.
We strive to help our existing clients comprehend the highs and lows of the spot market cycle and when it is advantageous to participate.